Summary: UK Growth in 2015
5th October 2015
Economic Survey of the United Kingdom 2015
The OECD confirms what we have stated as one of our ten eternal Macroeconomic truths (No 10) – long term health of an economy requires productivity growth, and productivity growth requires a supportive banking system to boost investment.
Main Findings
• Strong growth forecast (2.5%) relative to the G7 (average 1.7%) and the OECD (average 1.4%)
• Employment is at record levels
• Greater infrastructure provision is needed
• Business lending remains tight
• Housing supply is insufficient
Key recommendations to enhance infrastructure
•Build on the National Infrastructure Plan
• Expand public-private partnerships
• Develop further public guarantees
• Strengthen the Green Investment Bank
Main Findings
• Labour productivity is subdued
• Wages and GDP per capita refl ect weak productivity
• Vibrant productivity is key to sustain strong growth
• Stronger wages would boost public finance
Key recommendations for sustainable bank lending
• Continue reforms to make banks more stable
• Encourage and regulate new credit providers
• Share credit information more widely
• Relax land planning restrictions
Unleashing productivity
Wide-ranging domestic policies have boosted growth. The sustainability of economic expansion and further progress in living standards rest on stimulating productivity growth, which requires further structural reforms. … and higher financing of businesses.
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